Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001742 0.001915 0.002088 0.002274 0.002467 0.002662 0.002873
2025-02-09 0.001494 0.001762 0.002039 0.002345 0.002671 0.003007 0.003378
2025-02-16 0.001309 0.001656 0.002026 0.002444 0.002899 0.003377 0.003914
2025-02-23 0.001018 0.001409 0.001840 0.002342 0.002902 0.003501 0.004183
2025-03-02 0.000801 0.001222 0.001705 0.002283 0.002941 0.003657 0.004484
2025-03-09 0.000646 0.001090 0.001620 0.002270 0.003025 0.003857 0.004829
2025-03-16 0.000530 0.000994 0.001566 0.002286 0.003136 0.004085 0.005203
2025-03-23 0.000452 0.000935 0.001552 0.002344 0.003292 0.004360 0.005627
2025-03-30 0.000372 0.000863 0.001515 0.002370 0.003406 0.004585 0.005993
2025-04-06 0.000298 0.000789 0.001469 0.002378 0.003497 0.004779 0.006323
2025-04-13 0.000234 0.000720 0.001423 0.002383 0.003579 0.004962 0.006636
2025-04-20 0.000176 0.000649 0.001368 0.002373 0.003640 0.005117 0.006916
2025-04-27 0.000128 0.000589 0.001327 0.002383 0.003731 0.005316 0.007256
2025-05-04 0.000103 0.000565 0.001339 0.002461 0.003907 0.005617 0.007717
2025-05-11 0.000086 0.000556 0.001370 0.002566 0.004117 0.005958 0.008226
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000454 0.001251 0.002464 0.004066 0.005986 0.008369
2025-05-25 0.000013 0.000380 0.001167 0.002405 0.004064 0.006072 0.008577
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000331 0.001120 0.002393 0.004121 0.006225 0.008864
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000298 0.001094 0.002410 0.004214 0.006423 0.009203
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000282 0.001099 0.002470 0.004362 0.006687 0.009620
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000256 0.001082 0.002496 0.004465 0.006896 0.009970
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000227 0.001055 0.002505 0.004544 0.007073 0.010283
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000199 0.001026 0.002510 0.004616 0.007242 0.010583